Research on System Optimization and Decision-Making for Building Industrialization Chain Focused on Carbon and Waste Reduction

Dongxu Sun

doi:10.63313/AERpc.9059

Authors

Dongxu Sun Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454003, China Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.63313/AERpc.9059

Keywords:

Construction industrialization, System optimization, Evolutionary game theory, Carbon emission reduction, Construction waste, Regulatory dilemma

Abstract

Aiming at the "dual carbon" goals, this paper treats the industrial chain of building industrialization as a complex system and focuses on the synergistic reduction of carbon and waste. By analyzing the key contradictions within the system, a multi-dimensional indicator system encompassing policy drivers, technical capabilities, and environmental performance is constructed. An evolutionary game model between the government and core enterprises is then established to explore their strategic interaction mechanisms. Simulation results show that under current parameters, the system stabilizes in a "regulatory dilemma" state of "strict government supervision and traditional enterprise practices," revealing that excessively high transformation costs are the key bottleneck suppressing market-driven dynamics. Sensitivity analysis further identifies a priority sequence for breaking the dilemma: the primary task is to significantly reduce transformation costs, followed by establishing synergistic incentives combining subsidies and long-term benefits, while punitive mechanisms primarily serve as a safety net. Based on this, the study proposes a collaborative decision-making system from a system optimization perspective, prioritizing cost reduction, with incentives as the core and supervision as the safeguard, providing theoretical foundations and pathways for advancing the green and low-carbon transformation of the building industrialization industrial chain.

References

[1] The State Council of the People's Republic of China. (2024, May 23). Action plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction (2024-2025)[Government policy document]. Central People's Government of the People's Republic of China. https://www.gov.cn/gongbao/2024/issue_11406/202406/content_6958082.html.

[2] Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People's Republic of China & Na-tional Development and Reform Commission. (2022, June 30). Implementation plan for peaking carbon emissions in the urban and rural construction sector [Government policy document]. Central People's Government of the People's Republic of China. https://www.gov.cn/zhengce/zhengceku/2022-07/13/content_5700752.htm.

[3] General Office of the State Council of the People's Republic of China. (2025, June 6). Circu-lar on forwarding the "Opinions on further strengthening the management of urban con-struction waste" by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development [Government policy document]. Central People's Government of the People's Republic of China. https://www.gov.cn/gongbao/2025/issue_12126/202506/content_7029670.html.

[4] Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Housing and Construction. (2022, April 29). Several measures to support green and low-carbon development in the construction sector [Local government policy document]. Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Housing and Construction. https://zjj.sz.gov.cn/csml/kcsjyjskjc/xxgk/zcfg/content/post_9890378.html.

[5] Qiu, X. L. (2024). Problems and suggestions on incentive policies for green buildings. Con-struction Economy, 45(12), 14–21.

[6] Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of Hainan Province. (2022, May 6). *The 14th Five-Year Plan for the construction industry in Hainan Province (2021-2025)* [Local government policy document]. Department of Housing and Urban-Rural Develop-ment of Hainan Province. https://zjt.hainan.gov.cn/szjt/0401/202205/a686814eed5e49f59c2c3c9da8cb901e.shtml.

[7] Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People's Republic of China. (2022, January 19). *The 14th Five-Year Plan for the construction industry (2021-2025)* [Government policy document]. Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of the People's Republic of China. https://www.mohurd.gov.cn/gongkai/zc/wjk/art/2022/art_17339_764285.html.

[8] Zhang, D. M. (2018). Correlation analysis and control measures between the standardiza-tion rate of precast concrete components and the cost of prefabricated concrete buildings. Wall Materials Innovation & Energy Saving in Buildings, (10), 37–39.

[9] Zhang, Z., Huang, Y., Wang, P., et al. (2024). Prefabricated design and research of a high-rise shear wall residential building. Jiangsu Architecture, (01), 32–36.

[10] Lu, Y. J., Lu, J. H., Wang, S., et al. (2024). Theoretical framework for integrated digital deliv-ery in the context of new construction industrialization. Journal of Tsinghua University (Science and Technology), 64(2), 214–223.

[11] Liu, Z. S., Liu, Z. S., Sun, J. J., et al. (2021). Intelligent construction method and model test based on digital twin. Journal of Building Structures, 42(6), 26–36.

[12] Li, J. T., Liang, L. L., Li, Y. H., et al. (2022). Research on data collaboration in intelligent con-struction based on blockchain technology. Journal of Intelligence, 41(12), 104–110.

[13] He, K. Y., Cao, Y., Shen, S. W., et al. (2023). Benefit analysis of energy conservation and emission reduction in the materialization stage of prefabricated buildings in Chongqing. Chongqing Architecture, 22(1), 9–13.

[14] Li X J,Xie W J,Xu L,et al.Holistic life-cycle accounting of carbon emissions of prefabricated buildings using LCA and BIM[J].Energy and Buildings,2022, 266.

[15] Gao, J. (2024). Research on carbon emission accounting and reduction strategies for the whole life cycle of prefabricated concrete buildings (Master's thesis, Anhui Jianzhu Uni-versity).

[16] Sun, Z. W., Qin, J. S., & Sun, Y. K. (2025). Application analysis of green building materials in construction engineering. Foshan Ceramics, 35(7), 143–145.

[17] Zhang, H. (2025). Optimization measures for the use of recycled aggregates in green build-ing materials on concrete quality. Zhangjiang Science and Technology Review, (03), 62–64.